Monthly Archives: September 2014

SIGNPOSTS Announcing PAX MEXICANA

A second head was taken and displayed on the margins of Caparo the first in 2013 and now again in 2014. A persistent message Ciudad Juarez style. Then two shooting incidents resulting in death/s that bore all the hallmarks of killing Ciudad Juarez style. The Seetahal and the Desperlie Crescent killings exhibit the modus operandi utilised by cartel sicarios in Ciudad Juarez especially the Desperlie Crescent killings. In fact if the Desperlie Crescent killings were cartel in origin T&T has now seen a public expression of Pax Mexicana expressed by affiliates of a Mexican cartel who are members of the national security apparatus. If this is so are the APCs now necessary for the safety of the ruling politicians? Who is then ruling? Then there was the case of the Makayabella, the motorised yacht held off the Irish coast with one tonne of cocaine in 41 bales. The reports are conflicting and sketchy but there is the position that the yacht was in Trinidad for some time before it left for Venezuela before setting out across the Atlantic. The reality is that the trafficking operation was a nickle and dime affair as the main mast of the yacht broke, it ran out of fuel and was in some distress when interdicted. A comedy of errors as the case of Dancing with Waves which was also in Trinidad. Clearly a Mexican cartel dropped a dime on this crew to purge the independents from their turf. Surrender to Pax Mexicana or pay the price. Gold or Lead. What is stopping the loading of 41 bales of kilo bricks on the yacht in Trinidad when not a single government of T&T has undertaken the task of dismantling a single trafficking organisation using the sailing vessel method operating in T&T? Yet they boast of interdiction and all they did to aid the interdiction. But the organisation in T&T is untouched and in the best of trafficking health. This is called the game of drugs where the poor and especially Africans fill the jails for “drug crimes”. Remember for writing about these realities my reward is vagrant poverty becauseĀ  what I speak and write about is all fantasy. Yeah right! Embrace Pax Mexicana it is now legion!

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Voices from GANGLAND T&T

This is my post number 50. Click on the links to the three You Tube posts and listen/understand the discourse of Gangsta of Militant. Having learnt from the mistakes of the maximum leaders of gangland T&T who went before and are all dead a new discourse of gangsta has then evolved. The core lesson is don’t act out on the desire to be a maximum leader stick to your zone and be invisible as far as possible. The core business remains the same: drugs with all the rest being streams that flow into the revenue river. The drugs and guns are available and the police is not the gravest threat to the illicit enterprise. The gravest threat flows out of gangland hence the need for violence: gun violence. What is clearly evident is the discourse of Militant qualifies him and his organisation for acceptance as an affiliate of a Mexican cartel where the drugs and gun supply will explode. Sow the wind and reap the whirlwind. Pax Mexicana



CRISIS of T&T’s gas monetisation model

The Daily Express of September 16, 2104 and the Newsday of the same date reported on the contribution of Mr Austin Jack Warner, MP for Chaguanas West to the 2015 Budget debate. In both newspaper reports Mr Warner read from two letters allegedly sent from the Polnt Lisas Energy Association (PLEA) to the Minister of Energy dealing with the curtailment of the supply of gas feedstock to Point Lisas users. The primary issue is the supply of gas to Point Lisas end users which is below the level of supply necessary to maximise profits from operating the plants that use gas as feedstock. This curtailment continues up to today. The reality is that PLEA is a customer of NGC but NGC is not in the upstream business of gas exploration and production. NGC is enjoying a monopoly created by legislation not by hard reality on the ground. The largest single supplier of gas to NGC is BPTT and the capability of the other gas producers to fill the supply hole created when BPTT gas supply falls short of demand is questionable at best. In response to the shale gas revolution in the US BPTT has now to change its strategic imperative in order to maximise profits in this new environment. Four LNG trains were placed in T&T on the premise that the US would have been an energy importing market with an insatiable appetite for carbon based energy which it could not satisfy from indigenous resources. Today shale gas and shale oil/tight oil produced in the US has destroyed that myth and a whole new US energy market is under construction with the US gearing to be a world energy exporter. The US gas market no longer yields the profits it once did for the shareholders of Atlantic. LNG cannot compete with US produced pipeline gas and investments are pouring in to extend pipelines into urban areas previously by-passed. More and more LNG loads from T&T must now be sold under arbitrage or on short term supply contracts. The prices are higher than those under long term contracts but now you must produce and store a larger portion of production and that has a cost to it. Exports to Latin America and Asia are all ruled by short term/fixed term supply contracts. The gravest threat looming on the horizon is US LNG exports especially to Latin America. BPTT has to respond to this reality within the parameters set by a globalised energy company with a potent threat hovering over its head as a result of the US Gulf of Mexico oil spill. BPTT has then to maximise the profits earned through the sale of its gas to end users as PLEA in T&T especially since the cost of producing gas in T&T continues to rise given the depletion of the large gas pools within its shallow acreages. Today in the new dispensation the NGC middleman is now a fetter on the drive to profit maximisation. At present the price NGC pays to BPTT for the gas supply BPTT has no financial incentive to be the swing shift producer of gas for end users. BPTT will only supply what it has been contracted to supply. BPTT is no longer supplying cushion gas. BPTT also wants an increase in the price of gas paid by NGC when the supply contract is renewed given the changed cost structure it must operate/deal with. The days when BPTT could have actually subsidise the NGC are then over, kaput. Shale gas in the house. BPTT is then calling for the right to sell the gas it produces directly to end users. Whither the NGC? These revelations in the public domain since 2010 have been buttressed by a programme of infrastructure refurbishing especially of offshore production infrastructure by both BPTT and BG which forced the fall in gas production which continues. The present government has responded by giving incentives to stimulate exploration and production, the gas baby grant, but the substantive issue of the demand for a new paradigm/model remains shrouded in silence on the part of the political players. The gas curtailment continues raising questions of the viability of gas feedstock industries in T&T viewed through the reality of US shale gas. The Sunshine newspaper dated September 19, 2014 published copies of the alleged letters of PLEA to the Minister of Energy. One letter dated October 3, 2011 indicated that PLEA called for the producers of gas to sell gas directly to end users bypassing the NGC. This alleged letter from PLEA therefore supports the position of BPTT. In the quest for re-election the question arises of to rule what? My book “The geo-politics of LNG in Trinidad and Tobago and Venezuela in the 21st century” gives further detail on this issue.

Trinidad and Tobago Guardian of September 22, 2014 on page A20 published an article titled: “BPTT: Gas curtailment due to pause in investment” in which BPTT states that the present gas curtailment since 2010 was not the primary result of maintenance of infrastructure by the major gas suppliers but the “result of a pause in new investment in recent years by upstream producers including BPTT.” Furthermore this pause is the product of an “unfavourable investment climate”. The primary question then is what does BPTT want in order to move from an unfavourable to a favourable investment climate? In the article BPTT states that “commercial and structural issues” have to be addressed to change the present lack of investment. BPTT states that an energy policy must now focus on “the right structural and commercial terms to ensure it attracts the level of investment necessary to bring those resources into production”. BPTT wants then a new gas monetisation model driven by a current, relevant paradigm ever mindful of the shale gas revolution. Contrary to the propaganda Juniper does not signal the return to business as usual. Juniper is a 1TCF field with the gas assigned to Atlantic with a time frame of production in 2017. The open wound remains untreated and the viability of those that use gas feedstock is up in the air.

Globalisation of the COCA plant

In the late 1990s reports out of Central Africa insisted that Mexicans with their allies were present in Central African states especially the the Democratic Republic of the Congo for the express purpose of establishing coca plantations. The move therefore was to create a cocaine offshore production platform in Africa. Today a series of methamphetamine production sites under the control of Mexican organisations operate in Africa but the coca plantation strategy remains masked by silence. But now word has entered the public domain of the discovery of a coca plantation in Chiapas state, Mexico on the border with Guatemala. The strategy has now come home as data collected from the sojourn in Central Africa points to the viability of establishing multiple coca plantation sites in the Western Hemisphere outside of Peru, Bolivia and Colombia. This then is the attempt by the Mexican organisations to change the supply of coca paste dynamics for the production of cocaine in the Western Hemisphere. By globalising the coca plant multiple production points will be established thereby breaking the Colombia, Peru and Bolivia choke point. Note the coca plantation was in Chiapas state, Mexico and extensive drug labs to produce cocaine hydrochloride from coca paste exist presently in Guatemala. This development in Mexico will result in the deepening of the trafficking activity of Mexican organisations through the Caribbean island chain and one can very well soon discover coca and ganja plantations in the Caribbean island chain existing side by side. You sow the wind and reap the whirlwind. Pax Mexicana

http://news.yahoo.com/officials-coca-plants-discovery-1st-mexico-175725735.html;_ylt=AwrBJR.8aBFUF18AvAHQtDMD
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/officials-coca-plants-discovery-1st-mexico-25409870

The Evolution is now cast in stone

I have little to say on the link to devsur except this: Is this our future? Click on the link and reflect on this. The two links from curacao chronicle describe a reality where today the coast guard responsible for security of the coastal territory of Curacao and Bonaire are not patrolling these waters because the security of the members of the coastguard based in Curacao cannot be guaranteed in the face of aggression exercised against coastguard members. The coastal margins of Curacao and Bonaire have therefore been ceded to the illicit traffickers that operate in these waters. No longer intent to buy impunity the new order demands the exercise of hegemony visibly and publicly. Simply do not put your patrol craft out to sea and the price for doing this is clear. This is Pax Mexicana. This is our future. Finally the link from kaieteur news illustrates how simple it is to have a very simple person killed on a suspicion of being an informer in Guyana. This is the most potent example of an evolved illicit drug social order that insists it is a functioning democracy: a narcodemocracy. Click on the links, read and ask yourself the existential questions that arise. If you so dare.

http://www.devsur.com/ronnie-brunswijks-son-held-drugs/2014/09/03/
http://curacaochronicle.com/politics/working-group-for-security-coastguards/
http://curacaochronicle.com/local/coast-guard-suspends-curacao-patrols-over-violence/
http://www.kaieteurnewsonline.com/2014/09/05/killer-was-offered-2-5m-to-execute-cosmetologist/