To read the section on Central America and the Caribbean of the 2014 INCB report places in perspective the reality of the illicit drug trade of the Caribbean Basin from a source other than myself. My position is then confirmed by the international narcotics control board but the incb as usual fails to explain the dynamic on the ground. The 2015 INCS report of the US state department reveals in living colour the US concern over the Caribbean as they reduce their asset footprint devoted to drug interdiction in the Caribbean. The reality is multiple pipelines to the US from the Caribbean as seen in the report on The Bahamas and Jamaica. A reality I explained since 2102 with my book “Cocaine trafficking in the Caribbean and West Africa in the era of the Mexican cartels.” The government of The Bahamas is presently criticised for targeting Haitian illicit migrants to The Bahamas but the reality is that the nature of human smuggling has dramatically changed from Haiti to The Bahamas as the days of the creaky, leaking sloops are long gone as modern, sophisticated vessels carrying multiple illicit cargoes leave Haiti for The Bahamas. The transformation of Haitian gangland and the evolution of Haiti as a major transit point for a multiplicity of illicit cargoes leaving Haiti destined for various destinations in the region and the US continue to be absent from dominant discourse given the drastic failure of US actions in Haiti since the removal of Aristide by a drug militia to this day. The drug trade of the Dominican Republic is now rooted and operational in Haiti where Haitian drug organised crime supply DR drug demand. The organic changes are all the product of Pax Mexicana and what is now potently apparent is the power exercised by the Caribbean gangland affiliates of Pax Mexicana over gangland in the Caribbean which is destined to increase in potency with time and the chronic failure of Caribbean states to effectively respond to the threat. Caribbean politicians are noted for impotency on this reality. The US has then retreated to engagement with Central America and Puerto Rico. The Commander of SOUTHCOM has stated in his last appearance to the Senate committee that once the product enters Central America it disappears practically absolved from interdiction. The focus on Puerto Rico has revealed the pipeline linked to Central America and South America that not only targets Puerto Rico but also the Eastern seaboard of the US the most profitable US drug markets with heroin being the profit spinner. The Caribbean pipelines to the US are then primary heroin pipelines to the Eastern seaboard of the US. The US is then in triage mode in its war on drugs in the Caribbean Basin today but what is happening is that non-priority areas of the Caribbean are switched on moving product to the US constituting a tsunami of product to the US. Governments of the Caribbean who have signally failed to address this reality especially those who can afford the cost of response and did nothing are in fact the greatest gifts to Pax Mexicana today. Having sown the wind you can feel the whirlwind already on your face. I dare you to feel it. April 20, 2015: Two drug interdictions again point to the march of the Caribbean trade and the accuracy of my analysis. In Haiti a ship in port was found to be carrying 77 kgs of cocaine and 10 kgs of heroin. In a land where foreign NGOs wield more power than the state the drug trade rules. The other is 2.2 tonnes of cocaine interdicted on a yacht off Martinique leaving open the issue of where the product was headed: Europe directly or to Martinique/Guadeloupe and other eastern Caribbean islands or to a waiting ship in international waters. The reality is the volume of product being moved and the diversity of trafficking options presently utilised in the Caribbean.
On march 17, 2015 an AP news report indicated the interdiction of an drug ship carrying over one tonne of cocaine off the north coast of Puerto Rico. Persons were awaiting the boat’s arrival on a beach with gasoline to replenish its fuel supply suggesting that the boat was designated for a return journey. The Chief of Puerto Rican police indicated that the drug boat had made stops in Trinidad and Tobago (T&T) and St Martin on its journey from Venezuela to Puerto Rico. This is an indication of the trafficking route to Puerto Rico via the Eastern Caribbean island chain. The stop in T&T was either to offload a delivery of product or to load up on illicit fuel stored in illicit fuel dumps throughout the island chain to facilitate the trafficking operation or most likely both. This is the central importance of the illicit fuel trade that emanates from T&T to the rest of the Caribbean as there can be no trafficking without safe, sustainable fuel supply and fuel dumps. This vital operation demands the purchase of impunity from agents of the state in T&T and the rest of the Caribbean. The fact that the transport boat was to return indicates the level of impunity enjoyed by this pipeline and it is highly likely that heroin is being moved via this pipeline. What then is the cargo for the return journey? The most profitable cargo is human cargo being smuggled as to St Martin and other depot posts in the Caribbean island chain.
In 2013 Jose Miguel Handal of San Pedro Sula, Honduras was indicted in a Florida federal district court USA for illicit drug trafficking in the service of the Sinaloa Federation and Los Zetas of Mexico. His father and wife were also named by the US authorities as participants in the illicit enterprise. On March 12, 2015 Jose Handal was arrested in San Pedro Sula having failed to flee Honduras or simply change his identity. Handal is the first trafficker of Arab origin of San Pedro Sula and Honduras to have his enterprise dismantled whilst being in the service of the Mexican cartels. The Mexican cartels purge of Honduras continues and its noteworthy that in San Pedro Sula it now involves an Arab origin trafficker. A message sent hope its received, understood and acted upon. Welcome to the Mexican cartel ride. My reporting of reality since the 1990s has nothing to with race hate and jealousy just explaining an ever evolving reality which has only brought me poverty, no profit, no gain. Again what I said will happen is now being rolled out in living jail and lick up. Wait on it! Pax Mexicana!!!
Last week the European LNG price premium died as spot prices for LNG in Asia driven by Japanese demand rose to below USD 8 per MMbtu but the price is not attractive to pull LNG cargoes away from Europe given the freight and lack-luster demand in Asia. LNG cargoes will then continue to be dumped in the Atlantic basin seeking markets in Europe and Brazil. Brazil’s acute drought has crippled the capacity of its hydro-electric plants causing shortfalls in the supply of electricity to its major urban conclaves: Sao Paulo and Rio de Janiero. The question then is the level of demand in Europe and the demand capacity to absorb the volume of product on offer. Then the slide of the value of the Euro to the USD, yesterday it closed on Wall St at 1.06 USD to 1 Euro, is raising the real cost of imported LNG to consumers. Chevron has announced that LNG from the first train of its huge Gorgon LNG project in Australia will be exported in the final quarter of 2015 raising further the supply of Asian produced LNG to Asia. Finally the successive cold waves that brought below freezing temperature to the US North-East thereby raising the cost of imported LNG to USD 14 MMbtu and above is about over and as a result no more laden LNG carriers are presently heading for the US North-East or Repsol’s Canaport in Canada. I daresay T&T LNG was in this flow that is now dead. In the face of this perfect storm T&T is faced with an explosion of demand for US currency which has nothing to do with the level of demand in the economy. The largest single retailer of consumer durables in T&T has following the Christmas 2014 reality is reported to have laid off 200 workers/contractors with a further 150 to go and closed a series of sales outlets of one of its brand stores, major contraction to match the level of demand from its client base. Where then is the level of demand to justify an explosion of demand for hard currency? The rate of demand is outstripping supply and this has led to the fall in the level of hard currency savings held by the Central bank for the people of T&T not the politicians of T&T. The perfect storm has hit T&T and are we to expect a rapid depletion of our foreign reserves for the sake of political expediency. If demand outstrips supply why no depreciation of the TT dollar vs the US dollar? Why is the TT dollar appreciating? Clearly a political solution to market realities. Note carefully the LNG markets have changed structurally because of a new paradigm this is no short term dislocation. I have stated it before in a previous post that the new paradigm in the Caribbean illicit trades is also pushing the run on our hard currency reserves as the supply side of the market tightens under the Mexican cartel monopoly. The DR has also a similar run on its hand and its Central bank has intervened via repeat sales of USDs to defend its currency.
March 16, 2015: For the week ending 13 March the Asian spot market price remained unchanged at USD 7.75 per MMbtu with May delivery in the low USD 7s. End users are “mostly well stocked” and there is no rush to buy as traders set their gaze on April market demand. Argentina’s YPF finally came into the market with tenders for 11 LNG cargoes: six full loads and five partial loads for its first purchase since September 2014. Such is the nature of spot demand in this month. LNG prices in Asia are expected to fall when in 2015 some 32 million tonnes of LNG capacity come on stream in Australia. The perfect storm intensifies battering T&T’s revenue base in the land of acute denial and political power possession for the sake of personal aggrandisement.
On March 8, 2015 Dr Kenny Anthony PM of St Lucia addressed the nation on the issue of the report of CARICOM IMPACS on its investigation of some 12 persons killed by members of the Royal St Lucia Police Force (RSLPF) in 2010 and 2011. The PM indicated that the IMPACS report will not be placed in the public domain forcing this analysis to be based on what was revealed by the PM’s address. From 2010-2011 some 12 civilians were killed by members of the RSLPF the majority of them in the Castries basin. In the 2011 US State Department Country Report on Human rights Practices: St Lucia it states: “12 potentially unlawful fatal police killings during the year.” The US then placed the squeeze on St Lucia by withdrawing financial and other support for the St Lucia Coast Guard, ending all support for the RSLPF, banning participation of the RSLPF in all programs funded and manned by the US and the revocation of US entry visas of senior managers of the RSLPF. The new PM Kenny Anthony then commissioned IMPACS to investigate the matter as the US pressure was now telling. The IMPACS report of its investigation states: (1) that death lists created by members of the RSLPF existed, (2) all the killings reviewed were “fake encounters” staged by the Police to legitimise their actions, (3) weapons found on the scene of the killings were planted on the victims, (4) a number of shootings listed as murders committed by unknown assailants in the official statistics were committed by police officers, (5) complicity to enable said killings pervaded the entire hierarchy of the RSLPF even at its highest level. The bombshell of the report revealed so far is the statement as follows: “that the crime problem in St Lucia is facilitated by corrupt politicians/government officials, business persons and police officers.” The three horsemen of the apocalypse have then unleashed upon St Lucia a crime wave. What then is the major illicit enterprise that feeds the three horsemen in St Lucia: the illicit drug trade. The war that broke out in 2008 was initially a ganja drug war as attempts were underway to globalise St Lucia’s position in the Caribbean ganja trade. This globalisation meant the dominance of forces external of St Lucia especially Jamaican transnational organised crime over the trade. But whilst this move was in motion the strategy of the Mexican cartels for the Eastern Caribbean was also in motion. Both agendas were complementary as Jamaican transnational organised crime in the Caribbean are affiliates of the Mexican cartels and alarm bells went off in the ranks of the old trafficking order of St Lucia. The RSLPF then became the militia of the old order in an attempt to hold back the march of globalisation of the Caribbean drug trafficking in the image and likeness of the Mexican cartels. This war is not over and the momentum is on the side of the Mexican cartels. Pax Mexicana is hegemonic over the Caribbean Basin and the old trafficking order of St Lucia don’t have enough digits to plug the plague of leaks in their dyke. Best advice: sell out and run.
Those who follow this blog from its commencement will by now understand the nature of the order of the Mexican cartels. This week evidence was unearthed as to the potency of Pax Mexicana where a shipment of shredded coca leaves disguised as mata was on its way from Bolivia to Lebanon via Chile for processing into cocaine hydrochloride/powdered cocaine. The order has now determined that an offshore cocaine production platform will exist in the Middle East. It is highly probable that the producers/traffickers of the Bakaa Valley in Lebanon are the partners in this venture. A message to the pre Mexican order of the Caribbean that all Arabs are not the same and a new order of dominance is in motion. Quirino Paulino is now back in the Dominican Republic and he gave an indication of the power he wields within the state apparatuses of the DR with the manner in which he exited the airport he arrived at apparently escorted by airport security. The protocol governing re-entry of convicted persons to the DR was it is reported simply not applied to Quirino. The power of “El Don”. It was also reported that El Don and his top Lieutenant who was also extradited to the US and like Quirino sang like canaries to US authorities are back in the DR with their DR wealth amassed from drug trafficking intact. Quirino has also indicated that his assets seized by the government of DR must be returned as he was never convicted of a crime meriting asset seizure in the DR. A spirit lash for the corrupt politicians courtesy the US. Qurinio is in fact calling out the politicians and their trafficking allies to terminate with extreme prejudice. The reality in all of this is that Qurinio was always the lackey of the drug trafficking organisations first the Colombians/Venezuelans then the Mexicans. Never the player as he touched the product for players don’t touch the product. As they fight at this level the players run their trafficking enterprise untouched without hindrance and disturbance. So much for the wars on drugs and winning it. Finally in T&T as we witness the explosion of cocaine on the ground level spawning a gaggle of organisations seeking to place mules and swallowers in Europe, the US, Canada and other Caribbean islands. The product mix now includes heroin and marijuana. Then there is the debate about porous borders the question arises as to seagoing assets purchased and launched by the previous PNM government. This week we learned on CCN TV6 that they are parked up on land in Chaguarams rotting in the sun and rain for want of repairs to render them sustainably seaworthy. From 2010 to 2015 as these assets were sidelined no replacement assets were purchased and in 2015 they are still outstanding leaving T&T naked in the era of Pax Mexicana. This is the T&T that wants to take on IS? With what? Time for me to leave this place!